Probabilities from 1,000 season simulations using kenpom ratings.
Darker colors indicate higher probabilities.

Probabilities from 1,000 season simulations using kenpom ratings.
Darker colors indicate higher probabilities.

Location and Opponent are sorted by difficulty.
Each team column shows game results and schedules.

Each team's conference games are ranked by difficulty (based on kenpom rankings).
Win Prob is an allocation of probabilities that a team that finishes .500 in conference would win each game, favoring easier matchups.
Conf Win Value compares the actual wins to expected wins for a .500 team with that same schedule.
This only reflects past results, not future projections or predictions of final standings.

TWV (True Win Value) shows actual wins compared to expected wins for a team ranked 30th by KenPom.
Positive values indicate overperformance, negative values indicate underperformance relative to a top-30 team.

Projected conference tournament outcomes based on 1,000 simulations.
Probabilities account for projected seeding and team strength ratings.

NCAA tournament seed probabilities based on 1,000 simulations.
Projections consider current resume, remaining schedule, and conference tournament outcomes.